NHL

In Season · Monday, November 2, 2026 · 4 games
Last refresh Nov 2, 2026 at 12:56 PM EST
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🏒 Games⭐ Projected Winners👀 Props to Watch🥅 Goalie Props🎯 100% Cheatsheet📋 Model Record
VGK
VGK9-5-1–
BOS10-4-1–
7:00 PM ETTD Garden
BOS
DET
DET6-5-3–
FLA8-4-2–
7:00 PM ETAmerant Bank Arena
FLA
COL
COL8-5-1–
CHI4-9-1–
8:00 PM ETUnited Center
CHI
CGY
CGY6-8-0–
SJS7-7-1–
9:00 PM ETSAP Center at San Jose
SJS
⭐ Projected Winners (2)＋

Conditions: Only teams with 55%+ simulated win probability are shown. ★ = 65-74%, ★★ = 75-84%, ★★★ = 85%+.

Criteria: 10,000 Monte Carlo sims per game using xGF/xGA blended with prev-season actuals, +0.25 expected-goal home-ice bump.

COL ★ COL @ CHI · 8:00 PM ET COL +1.4 expected-goal edge on the road · M. Blackwood (2.73 GAA) vs S. Knight (3.21 GAA) · CHI missing Byram vs Manson, L'Heureux · tightened (road -6; raw 72%)
66%win prob
FLA — DET @ FLA · 7:00 PM ET FLA +0.5 expected-goal edge at home · D. Tarasov (1.4 GAA) vs J. Markstrom (2.21 GAA) · FLA ST edge / FLA missing Marchand, Barkov vs Larkin, Appleton · FLA 4-1 with rest edge
58%win prob

Model projections, not guarantees. For informational purposes only.

👀 Props to Watch
★★★ 75+ Elite★★ 55-74 Strong★ 15-54 LeanEdge = confidence index, not hit probability
Overs
Matthew Tkachuk FLA Pts o0.5 · L10 80%Over in 8 of the last 10 games · averaging 1.7 per game
OVEREdge 58 ★★
Mitch Marner VGK Pts o0.5 · L10 90%Over in 9 of the last 10 games · averaging 1.3 per game
OVEREdge 54 ★
Connor Bedard CHI Pts o0.5 · L10 80%Over in 8 of the last 10 games · averaging 1.1 per game
OVEREdge 48 ★
Mark Stone VGK Pts o0.5 · L10 70%Over in 7 of the last 10 games · averaging 1.2 per game
OVEREdge 47 ★
Brady Tkachuk FLA Pts o0.5 · L10 70%Over in 7 of the last 10 games · averaging 1.5 per game
OVEREdge 45 ★
Anton Frondell CHI SOG o1.5 · L10 40%Over in 4 of the last 10 games · averaging 2.3 per game
OVEREdge 38 ★
Brock Nelson COL SOG o1.5 · L10 70%Over in 7 of the last 10 games · averaging 2.4 per game
OVEREdge 33 ★
Patrick Kane CHI SOG o1.5 · L10 60%Over in 6 of the last 10 games · averaging 1.9 per game
OVEREdge 31 ★
Moritz Seider DET SOG o1.5 · L10 70%Over in 7 of the last 10 games · averaging 1.8 per game
OVEREdge 30 ★
Kiefer Sherwood SJS SOG o1.5 · L10 60%Over in 6 of the last 10 games · averaging 2.2 per game
OVEREdge 30 ★
David Pastrnak BOS Ast o0.5 · L10 60%Over in 6 of the last 10 games · averaging 0.7 per game
OVEREdge 39 ★
Nathan MacKinnon COL Ast o0.5 · L10 50%Over in 5 of the last 10 games · averaging 1.0 per game
OVEREdge 39 ★
Macklin Celebrini SJS Ast o0.5 · L10 50%Over in 5 of the last 10 games · averaging 0.6 per game
OVEREdge 32 ★
Mitch Marner VGK Ast o0.5 · L10 90%Over in 9 of the last 10 games · averaging 1.2 per game
OVEREdge 30 ★
Martin Necas COL Ast o0.5 · L10 50%Over in 5 of the last 10 games · averaging 0.9 per game
OVEREdge 28 ★
Nathan MacKinnon COL G o0.5 · L10 50%Over in 5 of the last 10 games · averaging 0.6 per game
OVEREdge 17 ★
Unders
Nikita Zadorov BOS G o0.5 · L10 0%Under in 10 of the last 10 games · averaging 0.0 per game
UNDEREdge 60 ★★
Brett Kulak COL G o0.5 · L10 0%Under in 10 of the last 10 games · averaging 0.0 per game
UNDEREdge 59 ★★
Alex Vlasic CHI G o0.5 · L10 0%Under in 10 of the last 10 games · averaging 0.0 per game
UNDEREdge 58 ★★
Garnet Hathaway FLA G o0.5 · L10 0%Under in 10 of the last 10 games · averaging 0.0 per game
UNDEREdge 58 ★★
Jordan Greenway CHI G o0.5 · L10 0%Under in 10 of the last 10 games · averaging 0.0 per game
UNDEREdge 58 ★★
Nikita Zadorov BOS SOG o1.5 · L10 10%Under in 9 of the last 10 games · averaging 0.9 per game
UNDEREdge 25 ★
Brett Howden VGK SOG o1.5 · L10 30%Under in 7 of the last 10 games · averaging 1.2 per game
UNDEREdge 15 ★
Mitch Marner VGK SOG o2.5 · L10 30%Under in 7 of the last 10 games · averaging 2.3 per game
UNDEREdge 15 ★
Michael Brandsegg-Nygård DET SOG o1.5 · L10 40%Under in 6 of the last 10 games · averaging 1.4 per game
UNDEREdge 13 ★
Hampus Lindholm BOS SOG o1.5 · L10 30%Under in 7 of the last 10 games · averaging 1.4 per game
UNDEREdge 12 ★
Garnet Hathaway FLA Pts o0.5 · L10 0%Under in 10 of the last 10 games · averaging 0.0 per game
UNDEREdge 56 ★★
Michael Brandsegg-Nygård DET Pts o0.5 · L10 30%Under in 7 of the last 10 games · averaging 0.5 per game
UNDEREdge 51 ★
Jordan Greenway CHI Pts o0.5 · L10 0%Under in 10 of the last 10 games · averaging 0.0 per game
UNDEREdge 48 ★
Brett Kulak COL Pts o0.5 · L10 10%Under in 9 of the last 10 games · averaging 0.1 per game
UNDEREdge 45 ★
Ben Chiarot DET Pts o0.5 · L10 10%Under in 9 of the last 10 games · averaging 0.1 per game
UNDEREdge 44 ★
Garnet Hathaway FLA Ast o0.5 · L10 0%Under in 10 of the last 10 games · averaging 0.0 per game
UNDEREdge 57 ★★
Cole Schwindt FLA Ast o0.5 · L10 0%Under in 10 of the last 10 games · averaging 0.0 per game
UNDEREdge 54 ★
Zack Ostapchuk SJS Ast o0.5 · L10 0%Under in 10 of the last 10 games · averaging 0.0 per game
UNDEREdge 52 ★
Michael Brandsegg-Nygård DET Ast o0.5 · L10 30%Under in 7 of the last 10 games · averaging 0.4 per game
UNDEREdge 51 ★
Jordan Greenway CHI Ast o0.5 · L10 0%Under in 10 of the last 10 games · averaging 0.0 per game
UNDEREdge 51 ★
🥅 Goalie Props · Saves
★★★ Edge 10+★★ 5-9★ 2-4Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged book probability, in points
Carter Hart VGKVGK vs BOS · Proj 22.7 saves · SV% .889 · Expected starterNo saves line posted yet
NO LINE
Jeremy Swayman BOSBOS vs VGK · Proj 25.2 saves · SV% .912 · Expected starterNo saves line posted yet
NO LINE
Daniil Tarasov DETDET vs FLA · Proj 24.2 saves · SV% .940 · Expected starterNo saves line posted yet
NO LINE
Mackenzie Blackwood COLCOL vs CHI · Proj 23.3 saves · SV% .897 · Expected starterNo saves line posted yet
NO LINE
Spencer Knight CHICHI vs COL · Proj 27.6 saves · SV% .897 · Expected starterNo saves line posted yet
NO LINE
Dustin Wolf CGYCGY vs SJS · Proj 24.8 saves · SV% .847 · Expected starterNo saves line posted yet
NO LINE
Yaroslav Askarov SJSSJS vs CGY · Proj 26.9 saves · SV% .900 · Expected starterNo saves line posted yet
NO LINE

Projection = expected shots faced (opponent shots/game and shots allowed/game, blended with the goalie's own shots faced per start) x save percentage shrunk toward .900 by shots faced. Probabilities from a Poisson distribution on projected saves. Lines via SportsGameOdds (DraftKings, ESPN BET). Starters refresh with the confirmed-starter checks - a saves prop only counts if he starts.

🎯 The 100% Cheatsheets＋
Mitch Marner VGK Over 0.5 points
5/5Last 5
Artturi Lehkonen COL Over 0.5 points
5/5Last 5
JJ Peterka BOS Over 1.5 shots on goal
5/5Last 5
Mitch Marner VGK Over 0.5 assists
5/5Last 5
Connor Bedard CHI Over 0.5 points
5/5Last 5

Perfect runs from this season's game logs against today's lines. A hot run is form, not a guarantee.

📋 Model Record87-54 · 62%＋
87-54Moneyline record · 62%
58-23Starred picks · 72%
DateGamePickModelScoreResult
Nov 1WPG @ CARCAR ★★83%0-7W
Nov 1MIN @ WSHMIN56%5-1W
Nov 1UTA @ PHIUTA ★69%3-6L
Nov 1EDM @ NYRNYR61%4-1L
Oct 31CBJ @ DALDAL ★72%1-3W
Oct 31CGY @ COLCOL ★72%2-5W
Oct 31TOR @ VANTOR ★69%4-2W
Oct 31PIT @ MTLMTL64%4-5W
Oct 30WPG @ FLAFLA ★75%2-5W
Oct 30SEA @ CGYCGY56%2-6W

Every graded moneyline pick this season, wins and losses, from the model results log. Past results do not guarantee future ones.

Data Sources