NHL
In Season · Sunday, November 1, 2026 · 5 games
Last refresh Nov 1, 2026 at 9:57 PM EST
OTT9-5-13
ANA5-7-13
● LIVE
WPG4-8-30
CAR12-2-27
FINAL
MIN10-3-35
WSH8-5-01
FINAL
UTA9-6-03
PHI4-8-46
FINAL
EDM10-2-24
NYR7-6-11
FINAL
👀 Props to Watch
★★★ 75+ Elite★★ 55-74 Strong★ 15-54 LeanEdge = confidence index, not hit probability
Overs
Evan Bouchard EDM
Pts o0.5 · L10 90%Over in 9 of the last 10 games · averaging 1.2 per game
OVEREdge 61 ★★
Connor McDavid EDM
Ast o0.5 · L10 100%Over in 10 of the last 10 games · averaging 2.0 per game
OVEREdge 60 ★★
Evan Bouchard EDM
Ast o0.5 · L10 90%Over in 9 of the last 10 games · averaging 1.1 per game
OVEREdge 53 ★
Adam Fox NYR
Pts o0.5 · L10 80%Over in 8 of the last 10 games · averaging 1.3 per game
OVEREdge 49 ★
Drake Batherson OTT
Pts o0.5 · L10 80%Over in 8 of the last 10 games · averaging 1.3 per game
OVEREdge 47 ★
Jake Sanderson OTT
SOG o1.5 · L10 70%Over in 7 of the last 10 games · averaging 2.2 per game
OVEREdge 24 ★
Mikael Granlund ANA
SOG o1.5 · L10 70%Over in 7 of the last 10 games · averaging 1.9 per game
OVEREdge 24 ★
Connor McDavid EDM
SOG o2.5 · L10 60%Over in 6 of the last 10 games · averaging 2.8 per game
OVEREdge 23 ★
Shane Pinto OTT
SOG o1.5 · L10 60%Over in 6 of the last 10 games · averaging 2.0 per game
OVEREdge 21 ★
Tim Stützle OTT
SOG o1.5 · L10 40%Over in 4 of the last 10 games · averaging 2.2 per game
OVEREdge 18 ★
Mika Zibanejad NYR
Pts o0.5 · L10 50%Over in 5 of the last 10 games · averaging 0.8 per game
OVEREdge 41 ★
Leo Carlsson ANA
Pts o0.5 · L10 60%Over in 6 of the last 10 games · averaging 1.1 per game
OVEREdge 39 ★
Leon Draisaitl EDM
Ast o0.5 · L10 50%Over in 5 of the last 10 games · averaging 0.8 per game
OVEREdge 36 ★
Adam Fox NYR
Ast o0.5 · L10 70%Over in 7 of the last 10 games · averaging 1.2 per game
OVEREdge 32 ★
Tim Stützle OTT
Ast o0.5 · L10 60%Over in 6 of the last 10 games · averaging 0.8 per game
OVEREdge 14 ★
Tristan Luneau ANA
G o0.5 · L10 20%Over in 2 of the last 10 games · averaging 0.2 per game
OVEREdge 25 ★
Leon Draisaitl EDM
G o0.5 · L10 60%Over in 6 of the last 10 games · averaging 0.9 per game
OVEREdge 7 ★
Unders
Drew Helleson ANA
G o0.5 · L10 0%Under in 10 of the last 10 games · averaging 0.0 per game
UNDEREdge 60 ★★
Marcus Pettersson NYR
G o0.5 · L10 0%Under in 10 of the last 10 games · averaging 0.0 per game
UNDEREdge 57 ★★
Pavel Mintyukov ANA
G o0.5 · L10 0%Under in 10 of the last 10 games · averaging 0.0 per game
UNDEREdge 54 ★
Frank Vatrano ANA
Ast o0.5 · L10 10%Under in 9 of the last 10 games · averaging 0.1 per game
UNDEREdge 54 ★
Sam Colangelo ANA
G o0.5 · L10 10%Under in 9 of the last 10 games · averaging 0.1 per game
UNDEREdge 51 ★
Vasily Podkolzin EDM
SOG o2.5 · L10 20%Under in 8 of the last 10 games · averaging 1.5 per game
UNDEREdge 23 ★
Jason Dickinson EDM
SOG o1.5 · L10 30%Under in 7 of the last 10 games · averaging 1.1 per game
UNDEREdge 19 ★
Alexis Lafrenière NYR
SOG o2.5 · L10 40%Under in 6 of the last 10 games · averaging 2.4 per game
UNDEREdge 15 ★
Tye Kartye NYR
SOG o1.5 · L10 60%Under in 4 of the last 10 games · averaging 1.8 per game
UNDEREdge 15 ★
Jordan Spence OTT
SOG o1.5 · L10 20%Under in 8 of the last 10 games · averaging 0.8 per game
UNDEREdge 15 ★
Drew Helleson ANA
Pts o0.5 · L10 0%Under in 10 of the last 10 games · averaging 0.0 per game
UNDEREdge 43 ★
Philip Tomasino OTT
Pts o0.5 · L10 20%Under in 8 of the last 10 games · averaging 0.2 per game
UNDEREdge 40 ★
Sam Colangelo ANA
Pts o0.5 · L10 40%Under in 6 of the last 10 games · averaging 0.5 per game
UNDEREdge 39 ★
Colton Dach EDM
Pts o0.5 · L10 10%Under in 9 of the last 10 games · averaging 0.2 per game
UNDEREdge 39 ★
Marcus Pettersson NYR
Pts o0.5 · L10 10%Under in 9 of the last 10 games · averaging 0.2 per game
UNDEREdge 38 ★
Tim Washe ANA
Ast o0.5 · L10 20%Under in 8 of the last 10 games · averaging 0.2 per game
UNDEREdge 47 ★
Colton Dach EDM
Ast o0.5 · L10 10%Under in 9 of the last 10 games · averaging 0.1 per game
UNDEREdge 45 ★
Marcus Pettersson NYR
Ast o0.5 · L10 10%Under in 9 of the last 10 games · averaging 0.2 per game
UNDEREdge 41 ★
Tyler Kleven OTT
Ast o0.5 · L10 0%Under in 10 of the last 10 games · averaging 0.0 per game
UNDEREdge 41 ★
Nikita Nesterenko ANA
G o0.5 · L10 20%Under in 8 of the last 10 games · averaging 0.2 per game
UNDEREdge 51 ★
🥅 Goalie Props · Saves
★★★ Edge 10+★★ 5-9★ 2-4Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged book probability, in points
Stuart Skinner WPGWPG vs CAR · Proj 26.3 saves · SV% .887 · Expected starterNo saves line posted yet
NO LINE
Pyotr Kochetkov CARCAR vs WPG · Proj 20.7 saves · SV% .929 · Expected starterNo saves line posted yet
NO LINE
Jesper Wallstedt MINMIN vs WSH · Proj 24.0 saves · SV% .920 · Expected starterNo saves line posted yet
NO LINE
Logan Thompson WSHWSH vs MIN · Proj 26.0 saves · SV% .898 · Expected starterNo saves line posted yet
NO LINE
Karel Vejmelka UTAUTA vs PHI · Proj 21.3 saves · SV% .872 · Expected starterNo saves line posted yet
NO LINE
Dan Vladar PHIPHI vs UTA · Proj 26.0 saves · SV% .885 · Expected starterNo saves line posted yet
NO LINE
M. Tomkins EDMEDM vs NYR · Proj 25.5 saves · SV% 1.000 · Expected starterNo saves line posted yet
NO LINE
Dylan Garand NYRNYR vs EDM · Proj 22.9 saves · SV% .899 · Expected starterNo saves line posted yet
NO LINE
Jonas Johansson OTTOTT vs ANA · Proj 22.8 saves · SV% .861 · Expected starterNo saves line posted yet
NO LINE
L. Brossoit ANAANA vs OTT · Proj 24.1 saves · SV% .895 · Expected starterNo saves line posted yet
NO LINE
Projection = expected shots faced (opponent shots/game and shots allowed/game, blended with the goalie's own shots faced per start) x save percentage shrunk toward .900 by shots faced. Probabilities from a Poisson distribution on projected saves. Lines via SportsGameOdds (DraftKings, ESPN BET). Starters refresh with the confirmed-starter checks - a saves prop only counts if he starts.
🎯 The 100% Cheatsheets
Connor McDavid EDM
Over 0.5 assists
5/5Last 5
Drake Batherson OTT
Over 0.5 points
5/5Last 5
Jackson LaCombe ANA
Over 0.5 points
5/5Last 5
Jackson LaCombe ANA
Over 0.5 assists
5/5Last 5
Tye Kartye NYR
Over 1.5 shots on goal
5/5Last 5
Perfect runs from this season's game logs against today's lines. A hot run is form, not a guarantee.
📋 Model Record85-52 · 62%
85-52Moneyline record · 62%
57-22Starred picks · 72%
| Date | Game | Pick | Model | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31 | CBJ @ DAL | DAL ★ | 72% | 1-3 | W |
| Oct 31 | CGY @ COL | COL ★ | 72% | 2-5 | W |
| Oct 31 | TOR @ VAN | TOR ★ | 69% | 4-2 | W |
| Oct 31 | PIT @ MTL | MTL | 64% | 4-5 | W |
| Oct 30 | WPG @ FLA | FLA ★ | 75% | 2-5 | W |
| Oct 30 | SEA @ CGY | CGY | 56% | 2-6 | W |
| Oct 29 | VAN @ SJS | SJS ★ | 69% | 2-3 | W |
| Oct 29 | CHI @ DET | DET | 64% | 1-4 | W |
| Oct 29 | BUF @ ANA | BUF | 59% | 7-6 | W |
| Oct 29 | NYI @ MIN | MIN ★★ | 83% | 4-3 | L |
Every graded moneyline pick this season, wins and losses, from the model results log. Past results do not guarantee future ones.
Data Sources
- Lines: PropLine consensus
- DvP: shotpropz.com
- xG: MoneyPuck
- Stats: NHL official API
- Hit rates on last-10 (this season + backfill from 2025-26)