NHL
In Season · Tuesday, November 3, 2026 · 11 games
Last refresh Nov 3, 2026 at 8:02 PM EST
QUICK LINKS
UTA9-6-01
TOR8-6-20
โ LIVE
WPG4-8-30
MTL9-3-22
โ LIVE
DET7-5-30
TBL8-3-22
โ LIVE
STL7-6-10
NYR7-7-10
โ LIVE
MIN10-3-32
PHI4-8-40
โ LIVE
VGK9-5-21
PIT5-7-20
โ LIVE
DAL8-5-11
WSH8-5-00
โ LIVE
COL9-5-11
CBJ5-7-02
โ LIVE
EDM11-2-21
NJD9-5-00
โ LIVE
CAR12-2-2โ
NSH5-4-5โ
PREPRE
ANA6-7-1โ
VAN3-12-1โ
9:00 PM ETRogers Arena
โญ Projected Winners (1)
Conditions: Only teams with 55%+ simulated win probability are shown. โ = 65-74%, โ โ = 75-84%, โ โ โ = 85%+.
Criteria: 10,000 Monte Carlo sims per game using xGF/xGA blended with prev-season actuals, +0.25 expected-goal home-ice bump.
Model projections, not guarantees. For informational purposes only.
๐ Props to Watch
โ
โ
โ
75+ Eliteโ
โ
55-74 Strongโ
15-54 LeanEdge = confidence index, not hit probability
Overs
Connor McDavid EDM
Ast o0.5 ยท L10 100%Over in 10 of the last 10 games ยท averaging 2.0 per game
OVEREdge 64 โ
โ
Mitch Marner VGK
Pts o0.5 ยท L10 100%Over in 10 of the last 10 games ยท averaging 1.5 per game
OVEREdge 63 โ
โ
Clayton Keller UTA
Pts o0.5 ยท L10 80%Over in 8 of the last 10 games ยท averaging 1.1 per game
OVEREdge 54 โ
William Nylander TOR
Pts o0.5 ยท L10 70%Over in 7 of the last 10 games ยท averaging 1.0 per game
OVEREdge 52 โ
Evan Bouchard EDM
Pts o0.5 ยท L10 90%Over in 9 of the last 10 games ยท averaging 1.4 per game
OVEREdge 52 โ
Blake Coleman MIN
SOG o1.5 ยท L10 60%Over in 6 of the last 10 games ยท averaging 2.3 per game
OVEREdge 37 โ
Porter Martone PHI
SOG o1.5 ยท L10 50%Over in 5 of the last 10 games ยท averaging 1.6 per game
OVEREdge 37 โ
Moritz Seider DET
SOG o1.5 ยท L10 80%Over in 8 of the last 10 games ยท averaging 2.0 per game
OVEREdge 36 โ
Jason Robertson DAL
SOG o2.5 ยท L10 80%Over in 8 of the last 10 games ยท averaging 3.3 per game
OVEREdge 32 โ
Anders Lee UTA
SOG o1.5 ยท L10 50%Over in 5 of the last 10 games ยท averaging 1.8 per game
OVEREdge 30 โ
Mark Stone VGK
Pts o0.5 ยท L10 70%Over in 7 of the last 10 games ยท averaging 1.1 per game
OVEREdge 52 โ
Quinn Hughes MIN
Ast o0.5 ยท L10 70%Over in 7 of the last 10 games ยท averaging 0.9 per game
OVEREdge 46 โ
Evan Bouchard EDM
Ast o0.5 ยท L10 90%Over in 9 of the last 10 games ยท averaging 1.2 per game
OVEREdge 44 โ
Leon Draisaitl EDM
Ast o0.5 ยท L10 60%Over in 6 of the last 10 games ยท averaging 1.0 per game
OVEREdge 44 โ
Nikita Kucherov TBL
Ast o0.5 ยท L10 60%Over in 6 of the last 10 games ยท averaging 1.1 per game
OVEREdge 44 โ
Tristan Luneau ANA
G o0.5 ยท L10 20%Over in 2 of the last 10 games ยท averaging 0.2 per game
OVEREdge 30 โ
Kirill Kaprizov MIN
G o0.5 ยท L10 80%Over in 8 of the last 10 games ยท averaging 0.9 per game
OVEREdge 19 โ
Leon Draisaitl EDM
G o0.5 ยท L10 60%Over in 6 of the last 10 games ยท averaging 0.9 per game
OVEREdge 11 โ
Nathan MacKinnon COL
G o0.5 ยท L10 40%Over in 4 of the last 10 games ยท averaging 0.4 per game
OVEREdge 10 โ
Connor McDavid EDM
G o0.5 ยท L10 40%Over in 4 of the last 10 games ยท averaging 0.6 per game
OVEREdge 7 โ
Unders
Matt Roy WSH
G o0.5 ยท L10 0%Under in 10 of the last 10 games ยท averaging 0.0 per game
UNDEREdge 61 โ
โ
Adam Wilsby NSH
G o0.5 ยท L10 0%Under in 10 of the last 10 games ยท averaging 0.0 per game
UNDEREdge 61 โ
โ
Brett Kulak COL
G o0.5 ยท L10 0%Under in 10 of the last 10 games ยท averaging 0.0 per game
UNDEREdge 60 โ
โ
Brady Skjei NSH
G o0.5 ยท L10 0%Under in 10 of the last 10 games ยท averaging 0.0 per game
UNDEREdge 60 โ
โ
Nick Perbix NSH
G o0.5 ยท L10 0%Under in 10 of the last 10 games ยท averaging 0.0 per game
UNDEREdge 60 โ
โ
Elias Pettersson VAN
SOG o2.5 ยท L10 10%Under in 9 of the last 10 games ยท averaging 1.3 per game
UNDEREdge 37 โ
Michael Rasmussen DET
SOG o1.5 ยท L10 30%Under in 7 of the last 10 games ยท averaging 1.8 per game
UNDEREdge 26 โ
Andrei Kuzmenko PIT
SOG o1.5 ยท L10 20%Under in 8 of the last 10 games ยท averaging 0.9 per game
UNDEREdge 23 โ
Nikita Kucherov TBL
SOG o3.5 ยท L10 20%Under in 8 of the last 10 games ยท averaging 3.0 per game
UNDEREdge 22 โ
Adam Edstrom NSH
SOG o1.5 ยท L10 50%Under in 5 of the last 10 games ยท averaging 1.3 per game
UNDEREdge 20 โ
Luca Del Bel Belluz CBJ
Pts o0.5 ยท L10 0%Under in 10 of the last 10 games ยท averaging 0.0 per game
UNDEREdge 58 โ
โ
Brett Kulak COL
Pts o0.5 ยท L10 0%Under in 10 of the last 10 games ยท averaging 0.0 per game
UNDEREdge 50 โ
Tim Washe ANA
Pts o0.5 ยท L10 30%Under in 7 of the last 10 games ยท averaging 0.3 per game
UNDEREdge 47 โ
Ryan Lomberg CBJ
Pts o0.5 ยท L10 0%Under in 10 of the last 10 games ยท averaging 0.0 per game
UNDEREdge 47 โ
Connor Murphy EDM
Pts o0.5 ยท L10 0%Under in 10 of the last 10 games ยท averaging 0.0 per game
UNDEREdge 47 โ
Tim Washe ANA
Ast o0.5 ยท L10 10%Under in 9 of the last 10 games ยท averaging 0.1 per game
UNDEREdge 59 โ
โ
Luca Del Bel Belluz CBJ
Ast o0.5 ยท L10 0%Under in 10 of the last 10 games ยท averaging 0.0 per game
UNDEREdge 58 โ
โ
Liam Ohgren VAN
Ast o0.5 ยท L10 0%Under in 10 of the last 10 games ยท averaging 0.0 per game
UNDEREdge 52 โ
Josh Anderson MTL
Ast o0.5 ยท L10 10%Under in 9 of the last 10 games ยท averaging 0.1 per game
UNDEREdge 51 โ
Tyson Foerster PHI
Ast o0.5 ยท L10 10%Under in 9 of the last 10 games ยท averaging 0.1 per game
UNDEREdge 49 โ
๐ฅ Goalie Props ยท Saves
โ
โ
โ
Edge 10+โ
โ
5-9โ
2-4Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged book probability, in points
Sebastian Cossa UTAUTA vs TOR ยท Proj 20.5 saves ยท SV% .855 ยท Expected starterNo saves line posted yet
NO LINE
Sergei Bobrovsky TORTOR vs UTA ยท Proj 26.1 saves ยท SV% .885 ยท Expected starterNo saves line posted yet
NO LINE
Stuart Skinner WPGWPG vs MTL ยท Proj 25.0 saves ยท SV% .887 ยท Expected starterNo saves line posted yet
NO LINE
Jacob Fowler MTLMTL vs WPG ยท Proj 24.9 saves ยท SV% .932 ยท Expected starterNo saves line posted yet
NO LINE
John Gibson DETDET vs TBL ยท Proj 21.9 saves ยท SV% .860 ยท Expected starterNo saves line posted yet
NO LINE
Andrei Vasilevskiy TBLTBL vs DET ยท Proj 22.9 saves ยท SV% .877 ยท Expected starterNo saves line posted yet
NO LINE
Joel Hofer STLSTL vs NYR ยท Proj 25.0 saves ยท SV% .916 ยท Expected starterNo saves line posted yet
NO LINE
Dylan Garand NYRNYR vs STL ยท Proj 22.9 saves ยท SV% .896 ยท Expected starterNo saves line posted yet
NO LINE
Jesper Wallstedt MINMIN vs PHI ยท Proj 23.0 saves ยท SV% .920 ยท Expected starterNo saves line posted yet
NO LINE
Dan Vladar PHIPHI vs MIN ยท Proj 26.2 saves ยท SV% .885 ยท Expected starterNo saves line posted yet
NO LINE
Adin Hill VGKVGK vs PIT ยท Proj 23.9 saves ยท SV% .891 ยท Expected starterNo saves line posted yet
NO LINE
Arturs Silovs PITPIT vs VGK ยท Proj 24.8 saves ยท SV% .889 ยท Expected starterNo saves line posted yet
NO LINE
Jake Oettinger DALDAL vs WSH ยท Proj 20.8 saves ยท SV% .921 ยท Expected starterNo saves line posted yet
NO LINE
Logan Thompson WSHWSH vs DAL ยท Proj 24.8 saves ยท SV% .898 ยท Expected starterNo saves line posted yet
NO LINE
Scott Wedgewood COLCOL vs CBJ ยท Proj 26.0 saves ยท SV% .889 ยท Expected starterNo saves line posted yet
NO LINE
Cam Talbot CBJCBJ vs COL ยท Proj 25.4 saves ยท SV% .894 ยท Expected starterNo saves line posted yet
NO LINE
Tristan Jarry EDMEDM vs NJD ยท Proj 24.3 saves ยท SV% .901 ยท Expected starterNo saves line posted yet
NO LINE
Connor Hellebuyck NJDNJD vs EDM ยท Proj 22.9 saves ยท SV% .923 ยท Expected starterNo saves line posted yet
NO LINE
Pyotr Kochetkov CARCAR vs NSH ยท Proj 20.7 saves ยท SV% .929 ยท Expected starterNo saves line posted yet
NO LINE
Juuse Saros NSHNSH vs CAR ยท Proj 27.7 saves ยท SV% .902 ยท Expected starterNo saves line posted yet
NO LINE
Laurent Brossoit ANAANA vs VAN ยท Proj 22.0 saves ยท SV% .870 ยท Expected starterNo saves line posted yet
NO LINE
Kevin Lankinen VANVAN vs ANA ยท Proj 24.3 saves ยท SV% .812 ยท Expected starterNo saves line posted yet
NO LINE
Projection = expected shots faced (opponent shots/game and shots allowed/game, blended with the goalie's own shots faced per start) x save percentage shrunk toward .900 by shots faced. Probabilities from a Poisson distribution on projected saves. Lines via SportsGameOdds (DraftKings, ESPN BET). Starters refresh with the confirmed-starter checks - a saves prop only counts if he starts.
๐ฏ The 100% Cheatsheets
Connor McDavid EDM
Over 0.5 assists
5/5Last 5
Ryan Leonard WSH
Over 1.5 shots on goal
5/5Last 5
Mitch Marner VGK
Over 0.5 points
5/5Last 5
Mitch Marner VGK
Over 0.5 assists
5/5Last 5
Vincent Trocheck UTA
Over 1.5 shots on goal
5/5Last 5
Jack Roslovic TOR
Over 0.5 points
5/5Last 5
Perfect runs from this season's game logs against today's lines. A hot run is form, not a guarantee.
๐ Model Record88-55 ยท 62%
88-55Moneyline record ยท 62%
59-23Starred picks ยท 72%
| Date | Game | Pick | Model | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 2 | COL @ CHI | COL โ | 66% | 5-2 | W |
| Nov 2 | DET @ FLA | FLA | 58% | 5-3 | L |
| Nov 1 | WPG @ CAR | CAR โ โ | 83% | 0-7 | W |
| Nov 1 | MIN @ WSH | MIN | 56% | 5-1 | W |
| Nov 1 | UTA @ PHI | UTA โ | 69% | 3-6 | L |
| Nov 1 | EDM @ NYR | NYR | 61% | 4-1 | L |
| Oct 31 | CBJ @ DAL | DAL โ | 72% | 1-3 | W |
| Oct 31 | CGY @ COL | COL โ | 72% | 2-5 | W |
| Oct 31 | TOR @ VAN | TOR โ | 69% | 4-2 | W |
| Oct 31 | PIT @ MTL | MTL | 64% | 4-5 | W |
Every graded moneyline pick this season, wins and losses, from the model results log. Past results do not guarantee future ones.
Data Sources
- Lines: PropLine consensus
- DvP: shotpropz.com
- xG: MoneyPuck
- Stats: NHL official API
- Hit rates on last-10 (this season + backfill from 2025-26)