NHL
In Season · Saturday, October 31, 2026 · 10 games
Last refresh Oct 31, 2026 at 8:00 PM EST
QUICK LINKS
PIT5-6-22
MTL8-3-22
โ LIVE
TOR7-6-21
VAN3-11-11
โ LIVE
CBJ5-6-0โ
DAL7-5-1โ
PREPRE
CGY6-7-0โ
COL7-5-1โ
10:00 PM ETBall Arena
CHI4-9-14
BOS10-4-15
FINAL
STL7-6-15
DET6-5-34
FINAL
TBL8-3-24
NSH5-4-55
FINAL
EDM10-2-24
NYI7-5-20
FINAL
BUF7-4-33
LAK4-7-22
FINAL
OTT9-5-15
SJS7-7-11
FINAL
โญ Projected Winners (1)
Conditions: Only teams with 55%+ simulated win probability are shown. โ = 65-74%, โ โ = 75-84%, โ โ โ = 85%+.
Criteria: 10,000 Monte Carlo sims per game using xGF/xGA blended with prev-season actuals, +0.25 expected-goal home-ice bump.
Model projections, not guarantees. For informational purposes only.
๐ Props to Watch
โ
โ
โ
75+ Eliteโ
โ
55-74 Strongโ
15-54 LeanEdge = confidence index, not hit probability
Overs
Mikko Rantanen DAL
Pts o0.5 ยท L10 70%Over in 7 of the last 10 games ยท averaging 1.4 per game
OVEREdge 49 โ
Evgeni Malkin PIT
Pts o0.5 ยท L10 50%Over in 5 of the last 10 games ยท averaging 0.7 per game
OVEREdge 43 โ
Cole Caufield MTL
Pts o0.5 ยท L10 50%Over in 5 of the last 10 games ยท averaging 1.0 per game
OVEREdge 43 โ
Nathan MacKinnon COL
Ast o0.5 ยท L10 50%Over in 5 of the last 10 games ยท averaging 1.1 per game
OVEREdge 41 โ
Wyatt Johnston DAL
Pts o0.5 ยท L10 50%Over in 5 of the last 10 games ยท averaging 1.0 per game
OVEREdge 40 โ
Evgeni Malkin PIT
SOG o1.5 ยท L10 70%Over in 7 of the last 10 games ยท averaging 2.3 per game
OVEREdge 40 โ
Ben Kindel PIT
SOG o1.5 ยท L10 90%Over in 9 of the last 10 games ยท averaging 2.5 per game
OVEREdge 32 โ
Mikael Backlund CGY
SOG o1.5 ยท L10 60%Over in 6 of the last 10 games ยท averaging 2.7 per game
OVEREdge 31 โ
Matvei Gridin CGY
SOG o1.5 ยท L10 80%Over in 8 of the last 10 games ยท averaging 2.6 per game
OVEREdge 26 โ
Brock Nelson COL
SOG o1.5 ยท L10 60%Over in 6 of the last 10 games ยท averaging 2.2 per game
OVEREdge 26 โ
Zach Werenski CBJ
Pts o0.5 ยท L10 60%Over in 6 of the last 10 games ยท averaging 0.7 per game
OVEREdge 40 โ
Cale Makar COL
Ast o0.5 ยท L10 40%Over in 4 of the last 10 games ยท averaging 0.6 per game
OVEREdge 30 โ
Mikko Rantanen DAL
Ast o0.5 ยท L10 50%Over in 5 of the last 10 games ยท averaging 0.9 per game
OVEREdge 30 โ
Martin Necas COL
Ast o0.5 ยท L10 40%Over in 4 of the last 10 games ยท averaging 0.8 per game
OVEREdge 26 โ
William Nylander TOR
Ast o0.5 ยท L10 50%Over in 5 of the last 10 games ยท averaging 0.7 per game
OVEREdge 25 โ
Nathan MacKinnon COL
G o0.5 ยท L10 50%Over in 5 of the last 10 games ยท averaging 0.6 per game
OVEREdge 23 โ
Cole Caufield MTL
G o0.5 ยท L10 40%Over in 4 of the last 10 games ยท averaging 0.6 per game
OVEREdge 10 โ
Unders
Zach Whitecloud CGY
G o0.5 ยท L10 0%Under in 10 of the last 10 games ยท averaging 0.0 per game
UNDEREdge 65 โ
โ
Brett Kulak COL
G o0.5 ยท L10 0%Under in 10 of the last 10 games ยท averaging 0.0 per game
UNDEREdge 63 โ
โ
Ryan Lomberg CBJ
G o0.5 ยท L10 0%Under in 10 of the last 10 games ยท averaging 0.0 per game
UNDEREdge 58 โ
โ
Oliver Kapanen MTL
G o1.5 ยท L10 0%Under in 10 of the last 10 games ยท averaging 0.0 per game
UNDEREdge 57 โ
โ
Kris Letang PIT
G o0.5 ยท L10 0%Under in 10 of the last 10 games ยท averaging 0.0 per game
UNDEREdge 57 โ
โ
Ville Koivunen PIT
SOG o1.5 ยท L10 20%Under in 8 of the last 10 games ยท averaging 1.0 per game
UNDEREdge 30 โ
Mikko Rantanen DAL
SOG o2.5 ยท L10 20%Under in 8 of the last 10 games ยท averaging 1.8 per game
UNDEREdge 20 โ
Liam Ohgren VAN
SOG o1.5 ยท L10 20%Under in 8 of the last 10 games ยท averaging 1.1 per game
UNDEREdge 19 โ
Sam Steel DAL
SOG o1.5 ยท L10 30%Under in 7 of the last 10 games ยท averaging 1.0 per game
UNDEREdge 17 โ
Nick Paul TOR
SOG o1.5 ยท L10 10%Under in 9 of the last 10 games ยท averaging 0.7 per game
UNDEREdge 17 โ
Ryan Lomberg CBJ
Pts o0.5 ยท L10 0%Under in 10 of the last 10 games ยท averaging 0.0 per game
UNDEREdge 51 โ
Logan O'Connor COL
Pts o0.5 ยท L10 10%Under in 9 of the last 10 games ยท averaging 0.1 per game
UNDEREdge 50 โ
Zach Whitecloud CGY
Pts o0.5 ยท L10 10%Under in 9 of the last 10 games ยท averaging 0.1 per game
UNDEREdge 45 โ
Jonathan Lekkerimaki VAN
Pts o1.5 ยท L10 20%Under in 8 of the last 10 games ยท averaging 0.8 per game
UNDEREdge 44 โ
Colin Blackwell DAL
Pts o0.5 ยท L10 10%Under in 9 of the last 10 games ยท averaging 0.1 per game
UNDEREdge 39 โ
Ryan Lomberg CBJ
Ast o0.5 ยท L10 0%Under in 10 of the last 10 games ยท averaging 0.0 per game
UNDEREdge 57 โ
โ
Arttu Hyry DAL
Ast o0.5 ยท L10 0%Under in 10 of the last 10 games ยท averaging 0.0 per game
UNDEREdge 51 โ
Aydar Suniev CGY
Ast o0.5 ยท L10 10%Under in 9 of the last 10 games ยท averaging 0.1 per game
UNDEREdge 51 โ
Logan O'Connor COL
Ast o0.5 ยท L10 10%Under in 9 of the last 10 games ยท averaging 0.1 per game
UNDEREdge 50 โ
Oliver Kapanen MTL
Ast o0.5 ยท L10 0%Under in 10 of the last 10 games ยท averaging 0.0 per game
UNDEREdge 50 โ
๐ฅ Goalie Props ยท Saves
โ
โ
โ
Edge 10+โ
โ
5-9โ
2-4Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged book probability, in points
Michael DiPietro BOSBOS vs CHI ยท Saves 21 ยท Proj 26.0 saves ยท SV% .929 ยท Confirmed starterOver hit in 4 of last 4 starts ยท SGO consensus line
OVER 21Model 81% ยท Edge +31 โ
โ
โ
Fair -418 ยท Book +100
Jacob Fowler MTLMTL vs PIT ยท Saves 23.5 ยท Proj 25.2 saves ยท SV% .942 ยท Confirmed starterOver hit in 3 of last 7 starts ยท SGO consensus line
OVER 23.5Model 62% ยท Edge +12 โ
โ
โ
Fair -166 ยท Book +100
Arvid Soderblom CHICHI vs BOS ยท Proj 25.1 saves ยท SV% .829 ยท Expected starterNo saves line posted yet
NO LINE
Joel Hofer STLSTL vs DET ยท Proj 26.1 saves ยท SV% .916 ยท Expected starterNo saves line posted yet
NO LINE
John Gibson DETDET vs STL ยท Proj 21.0 saves ยท SV% .860 ยท Confirmed starterNo saves line posted yet
NO LINE
Andrei Vasilevskiy TBLTBL vs NSH ยท Proj 22.2 saves ยท SV% .877 ยท Expected starterNo saves line posted yet
NO LINE
Justus Annunen NSHNSH vs TBL ยท Proj 26.2 saves ยท SV% .846 ยท Expected starterNo saves line posted yet
NO LINE
Tristan Jarry EDMEDM vs NYI ยท Proj 22.6 saves ยท SV% .901 ยท Confirmed starterNo saves line posted yet
NO LINE
Ilya Sorokin NYINYI vs EDM ยท Proj 24.0 saves ยท SV% .911 ยท Expected starterNo saves line posted yet
NO LINE
Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen BUFBUF vs LAK ยท Proj 24.4 saves ยท SV% .874 ยท Expected starterNo saves line posted yet
NO LINE
Darcy Kuemper LAKLAK vs BUF ยท Proj 24.9 saves ยท SV% .878 ยท Expected starterNo saves line posted yet
NO LINE
Samuel Ersson OTTOTT vs SJS ยท Proj 24.2 saves ยท SV% .866 ยท Confirmed starterNo saves line posted yet
NO LINE
Alex Nedeljkovic SJSSJS vs OTT ยท Proj 27.0 saves ยท SV% .899 ยท Confirmed starterNo saves line posted yet
NO LINE
Sergei Murashov PITPIT vs MTL ยท Proj 25.9 saves ยท SV% .883 ยท Confirmed starterNo saves line posted yet
NO LINE
Anthony Stolarz TORTOR vs VAN ยท Proj 24.9 saves ยท SV% .907 ยท Confirmed starterNo saves line posted yet
NO LINE
Leevi Merilรคinen VANVAN vs TOR ยท Proj 28.1 saves ยท SV% .898 ยท Confirmed starterNo saves line posted yet
NO LINE
Jet Greaves CBJCBJ vs DAL ยท Proj 24.1 saves ยท SV% .884 ยท Confirmed starterNo saves line posted yet
NO LINE
Jake Oettinger DALDAL vs CBJ ยท Proj 20.1 saves ยท SV% .917 ยท Confirmed starterNo saves line posted yet
NO LINE
A. Sergeev CGYCGY vs COL ยท Proj 27.0 saves ยท SV% .895 ยท Confirmed starterNo saves line posted yet
NO LINE
Mackenzie Blackwood COLCOL vs CGY ยท Proj 24.5 saves ยท SV% .894 ยท Confirmed starterNo saves line posted yet
NO LINE
Projection = expected shots faced (opponent shots/game and shots allowed/game, blended with the goalie's own shots faced per start) x save percentage shrunk toward .900 by shots faced. Probabilities from a Poisson distribution on projected saves. Lines via SportsGameOdds (DraftKings, ESPN BET). Starters refresh with the confirmed-starter checks - a saves prop only counts if he starts.
๐ฏ The 100% Cheatsheets
Ivan Provorov CBJ
Over 1.5 shots on goal
5/5Last 5
Jack Roslovic TOR
Over 0.5 points
5/5Last 5
Artturi Lehkonen COL
Over 0.5 points
5/5Last 5
Easton Cowan TOR
Over 0.5 points
5/5Last 5
Jack Roslovic TOR
Over 0.5 assists
5/5Last 5
Perfect runs from this season's game logs against today's lines. A hot run is form, not a guarantee.
๐ Model Record81-52 ยท 61%
81-52Moneyline record ยท 61%
54-22Starred picks ยท 71%
| Date | Game | Pick | Model | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 30 | WPG @ FLA | FLA โ | 75% | 2-5 | W |
| Oct 30 | SEA @ CGY | CGY | 56% | 2-6 | W |
| Oct 29 | VAN @ SJS | SJS โ | 69% | 2-3 | W |
| Oct 29 | CHI @ DET | DET | 64% | 1-4 | W |
| Oct 29 | BUF @ ANA | BUF | 59% | 7-6 | W |
| Oct 29 | NYI @ MIN | MIN โ โ | 83% | 4-3 | L |
| Oct 29 | MTL @ DAL | DAL โ โ | 81% | 5-2 | L |
| Oct 29 | OTT @ LAK | OTT | 63% | 5-6 | L |
| Oct 29 | WSH @ NSH | NSH | 60% | 4-3 | L |
| Oct 28 | PHI @ WSH | WSH โ | 74% | 2-5 | W |
Every graded moneyline pick this season, wins and losses, from the model results log. Past results do not guarantee future ones.
Data Sources
- Lines: PropLine consensus
- DvP: shotpropz.com
- xG: MoneyPuck
- Stats: NHL official API
- Hit rates on last-10 (this season + backfill from 2025-26)